New CSIRO research has forecast job trends for industries which are indirectly effected by the Coal Seam Gas industry (CSG) in Queensland over the next twenty years. The research focused on the impact of several different operating scenarios of the CSG industry on indirect jobs, that is the jobs generated in sectors other than the gas industry directly.
The research, which was conducted for the Gas Industry Social and Environmental Research Alliance (GISERA), looked forward at the CSG operations phase and the potential impacts on regional economies to better inform local businesses on how to respond.
Upward indirect jobs trend to 2014
Building on previous research about the CSG construction phase in the Western Downs region in Queensland, the new model forecasted several scenarios, comparing employment numbers prior to the CSG construction phase, referencing the 2006 Census.
Across all scenarios there was a general upward jobs trend from 2014 to 2024, then a general downward trend from 2024 to 2034, as well as smaller oscillations along the way; however, in all scenarios the number of jobs in 2034 were still higher than the total number of jobs in the region in 2006. Most jobs generated will be in construction, accommodation and food services, and other service industries such as mechanics.
Lessons for Small to Medium-sized Enterprises
The research reviewed the effects of the CSG construction phase on small to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). From this, CSIRO researchers have developed 10 lessons learned to help local SMEs prepare for forecasted cycles of relative growth and relative decline over the next two decades.
An animation describing the trends in indirect jobs and lessons for SMEs has been produced as part of the GISERA-funded research. Visit the GISERA website for more information.
About the Gas Industry Social and Environmental Research Alliance
GISERA is a collaborative alliance established to undertake publicly-reported independent research addressing the socio-economic and environmental impacts of Australia’s natural gas industry. The governance structure for GISERA is designed to provide for and protect research independence and transparency of funded research.
See www.gisera.org.au for more information about GISERA’s governance, funding and research findings.